This is a pretty interesting idea. Decide how you feel on the issues, then get matched with the candidate that most reflects those standards. This could have pretty interesting implications on the future of politics.
SelectSmart.com Selectors | 2004 AMERICAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE SELECTOR
A great article with Guy Kawasaki on picking a VC, witty like only Guy can be.
Forbes.com: What To Expect From A Venture Capitalist
A terabyte in a portable box for $1200 - incredible.
LaCie - Bigger Disk - largest hard drive capacity available
Andersen is doing some cool stuff with windows that turn opaque, or function as speakers or TVs. Reminds me a little of Slow Glass.
Company Hopes to Make Windows for Future
We attended an incredible speech by Tom Friedman. The text was substantially similar to his War of Ideas editorials. He enjoined us to read 2 things, during his speech. One was a speech given by Malaysian Prime Minister Mohammed Mahathir to the OIC. The other was 2 Arab Human Development Reports, which cost $10 each, but a speech about them is available. Fascinating stuff from a very insightful speaker.
Paul Mockapetris was the original inventor of DNS and has some interesting ideas about using it for other uses.
And when you finish that, build some more of you. Go ahead, fill a
whole desert valley. And then produce unlimited energy while
eliminating the greenhouse effect. Okay? Thanks.
By Thomas Bass
DISCOVER Vol. 16 No. 10 | October 1995 | Technology
According to the vision of Klaus Lackner and Christopher Wendt, a few
short decades from now the desert chaparral of what was once the
White Sands Missile Range in southern New Mexico will be transformed
into a strange new world. For hundreds of miles in every direction
the alkali flats will be covered with a blinking array of solar
panels. These might look familiar enough, but not the little suitcase-
size robots scurrying among the panels on a grid of white ceramic
tracks.
The robots, called auxons (from the Greek auxein, to grow), are
designed for specialized tasks. Digger auxons scrape an inch of dirt
off the desert floor. Transport auxons carry the dirt to a beehive of
electrified ovens. Out of these ovens, which work at superhigh
temperatures, come useful metals, like iron and aluminum, or the
silicon required for making computer chips. Production auxons shape
these materials into machine parts and solar panels. Assembly auxons
fit them into place. Then the process begins all over again as a new
batch of self-replicating automatons rolls into the desert to scoop
up another load of dirt.
This electrified grid of tracks and bustling robots grows
exponentially across the New Mexican mesas, doubling in size every
six months. Though it started out the size of a football field, in
ten years it could cover the continent. Before this happens, however,
some built-in constraint will tell the system to stop growing.
Instead of continuing to reproduce itself, the huge array of solar
panels will feed its electricity into the national power grid. This
one colony of auxons alone, limited to the test site where the
world's first atomic bomb was exploded, will produce enough power to
meet the current electrical energy needs of the United States.
Elsewhere on the continent, other auxon colonies stretch inland from
the coasts. When switched from reproduction to production, the
colonies will desalinate seawater, pump freshwater to the nation's
farmland, and suck greenhouse gases out of the atmosphere,
transforming carbon dioxide into mountains of limestone. Another
exponentially growing auxon colony, once it covers a bit more than 10
percent of the Sahara, will be able to meet the world's total energy
demands three times over. No longer starved for power or limited to
the polluting technologies once used to get it, people will be
looking forward to the twenty-second century, when things should
really get interesting.
The vision began to take shape in the summer of 1992. Klaus Lackner,
a 43-year-old physicist in the Los Alamos National Laboratory's
theoretical division--which researches such classified phenomena as
bomb blasts, and such unclassified ones as climate--and his friend
Christopher Wendt, a 36-year-old particle physicist at the University
of Wisconsin, were enjoying a beer in Lackner's house on the Los
Alamos mesa when they began wondering why scientists no longer think
about big projects. Back in the 1950s people weren't afraid to pop
off ideas about interplanetary travel or terraforming Mars into a
space colony. But today, with fear of technology in the air, no one
talks about building big projects on the scale of the pyramids or the
great cathedrals of Europe.
After a few more beers, Lackner and Wendt started thinking big
themselves. They talked about the problem of global warming and how
it could be solved by transforming carbon dioxide into carbonate rock-
-a stable form of matter that would give us no more trouble than the
cliffs of Dover. But to make these chalky white cliffs of stabilized
CO2 would require so much machinery that the cost of buying or
manufacturing it would bankrupt you. The only way you could do it
would be to produce the machinery automatically. So we concluded that
the means of production, as part of their job, would have to build
copies of themselves, says Lackner. The number of these self-
replicating machines at work, then, would increase exponentially.
Lackner and Wendt did some back-of-the-envelope calculations. During
the day, some 300 to 1,000 watts of solar power rains down on every
square meter of land. Harness this power into a self-reproducing
system and two things happen. The system grows big fast, and it
produces a phenomenal amount of energy. A million-square-kilometer
auxon system, which represents 4 percent of North America, or half
the cropland in the United States, could produce 25 times the world's
current output of electricity. A 10- million-square-kilometer auxon
system would provide all the elements for a sustainable world
economy. The price tag for developing this system? Anywhere from $1
billion to $100 billion--cheap compared with, say, the current
military budget of $264.7 billion.
Once you start talking about projects this big, says Wendt, the
amount of energy available to you becomes staggering.
We live in an energy-starved society, says Lackner, and here was an
idea for getting virtually unlimited energy, which would be a great
thing to have.
At this point in their discussion, they had only a vague idea of what
could be done with an automated industrial process growing like algae
over the surface of the planet, but they knew it was big and powerful
and could be programmed for a wide variety of human uses. They would
bring the dark, satanic mills of the nineteenth century into today's
sunlight. They would scoop up the free energy raining down on Earth
and use it to put the spark of life into dirt, water, and air, which
were all that were needed to build artificial life.
We fell in love with this idea of making something really huge, says
Wendt. Then we tried to justify our love by thinking of useful things
for it to do.
When they met over breakfast the next morning, Lackner and Wendt
looked at each other and said, That wasn't such a crazy idea we had
last night. They agreed to pursue the project. They would moonlight
in their spare time, researching the industrial processes and
chemical reactions required to build self-reproducing machines. They
couldn't think of one, but they imagined that somewhere there had to
be a bottleneck, a first principle or fundamental law that made the
idea impossible. They never found one.
Laus Lackner, a tall, well-knit man with a domed forehead and graying
hair curling over his ears, is a naturalized American, born in
Germany. He wears sandals with socks, speaks English with a German
accent, and is gracious to a fault. He also tends to wander. He picks
up new ideas and calculates their feasibility with so much gusto that
in his company one often feels like Alice tumbling down the rabbit
hole.
At such moments, Wendt interrupts to say, Oh, Klaus, don't get into
that. The two men have known each other since they shared a computer
in a research lab at Caltech in the early 1980s, when Lackner was a
postdoc in high-energy physics and Wendt was an undergraduate. They
found themselves together again after Lackner moved to the Stanford
Linear Accelerator Center in Palo Alto and Wendt began graduate
school next door at Stanford. Their friendship now includes their
wives and Lackner's three young daughters.
With hair clipped short on the sides and pointy ears, Wendt has a
Vulcan air about him. He wears high-tech metal-frame glasses,
collarless shirts, chinos, and hiking boots, which give him the hip
look of someone still young enough to get carded at the university
pub. Although he too was born in Germany, where his father was a
visiting academic, Wendt is basically an American whiz kid, the
product of some of the country's best schools and laboratories. He
now researches Z bosons, muons, and other abstruse forces in high-
energy particle physics. I still have this nagging idea that physics
should be good for something, he says. And since I don't know what
high-energy physics is good for, I'm always looking around for
something useful. No wonder he fell in love with auxons.
After spending a few weeks refining their original big idea via E-
mail, Lackner and Wendt had outlined a self-reproducing system with
closure. This means it was capable of making copies of itself without
the addition of material from outside. Designed into the system were
the powers of production, replication, growth, and self-repair.
The tools required for building an auxon system are borrowed from
experimental physics, chemistry, robot design, and Boy Scout
inventiveness. Start with common dirt and break it into its
components. Dirt from anywhere, your backyard included, is filled
with iron ore, aluminum, silicon, copper, carbon, and virtually every
other element required for industrial production.
So why isn't your backyard being strip-mined? Because the
concentration of metals in ordinary dirt is low--down in the range of
5 percent for iron, for example, while the metal in a good iron mine
might be concentrated at 30 percent. But low concentrations present
no problem to a system with unlimited energy; it can simply crunch up
more dirt.
Slightly more problematic for the backyard miner is that the metals
in dirt often exist in the form of oxides. Before you can obtain
usable iron or aluminum, you have to strip away the oxygen. Ripping
oxygen off the molecules to which it is attached is an energy-
intensive process, requiring high heat, electricity, or both.
Scientists have developed ways to make the procedure more efficient--
by reducing the melting temperatures of ores and improving the
electrolytic processes by which they separate the good stuff from the
bad. Aluminum oxide, for example, is mixed with cryolite, a fluoride,
to cut its melting temperature in half.
But fluoride is rare, and to avoid bottlenecks, Lackner and Wendt
wanted to steer clear of any substance in short supply. So they
developed the chemistry for a new kind of industrial process. They
would strip away the oxygen molecules in metallic oxides by binding
them to silicon (which abounds in dirt) or carbon (which abounds in
air). The one sticking point in making this process work is the heat
it requires. Ores break down in the presence of carbon and release
their constituent metals only when fired at temperatures ranging up
to 4000 degrees Fahrenheit; the silicon reaction does work at lower
temperatures, but more heat makes it go faster. These temperatures,
although feasible in today's industrial processes, are too expensive
to maintain--unless the system is being run by auxons with plenty of
solar energy to spare.
Lackner and Wendt's element separation cycle has another unique
feature: it requires no outside materials beyond those created in its
ten steps. After an initial priming with silicon and carbon, the
system recycles all the elements required to keep itself going. You
scoop up dirt and heat it. Into the furnace goes silicon. The silicon
gloms on to the oxygen atoms, ripping them away from the iron,
sodium, potassium, and magnesium. There they are--the metals you were
after, in the form of a liquid or a gas.
The oxygen stolen from the metals turns the silicon into silicon
dioxide, or quartz. Carbon rips away the oxygen atoms again, turning
the quartz back into silicon and carbon monoxide. Carbon monoxide, in
the presence of hydrogen, becomes carbon and water. Carbon reduces
aluminum. Electricity splits water into hydrogen and oxygen, and the
process starts all over again, with silicon, carbon, and hydrogen
being dumped into dirt- filled high-temperature furnaces.
After they'd outlined their process, Lackner and Wendt checked their
work by searching the literature on industrial techniques for making
metals. Iron, magnesium, calcium--all at one time or another have
been extracted by applying intense heat to ores, as Lackner and Wendt
suggested doing. Even aluminum, which requires the highest
temperatures, has been extracted this way. Reynolds Metals Company
went so far as to build a pilot plant that used carbon instead of
cryolite to make aluminum. The technology worked fine, even if it was
too expensive at today's prices. It would not be too expensive, of
course, for an auxon.
We reinvented the wheel, says Lackner, which makes me feel quite
comfortable. Industry has experimented with all these ideas. They
just never put them into a coherent system.
Once dirt is broken down into piles of metals, there's no conceptual
difficulty with the rest of the technology required for shaping these
piles into rods, panels, cogs, conductors, insulators, computer
chips, and the other stuff of modern machine tools. Robots are now
very good at rolling ingots, hammering them into sheets of metal,
cutting and shaping machine parts, and then assembling them into
usable tools. A close cousin to all the automated steps required to
build auxons already exists in industry, says Lackner. A car can be
made in 16 hours almost entirely by robots. Robots controlled by
Apple computers assemble parts of Apple computers. Lackner and Wendt
consider their auxon system a logical extension of automated methods
already in place. The difference will not be how the robots work but
what they produce: more of themselves.
Lackner and Wendt were not trying to draw up blueprints for actual
robots; they were merely trying to prove that their idea wasn't
impossible. Still, they had a sense of the problems they'd encounter
in founding an auxon community, and the kinds of solutions they would
propose.
Once the suitcase-size bolt cutters and nut fasteners were up and
running, they knew, the trick to keeping the system going would be
simplicity. Rather than smart robots--which have a history of taking
three steps and falling over--Lackner foresaw a decentralized system
of dumb machines, each performing its dedicated task. You want them
cheap and dispensable, he says. An auxon can jump off a cliff and you
won't miss it.
The auxon system wouldn't have any brain or automatic administrative
center, like the one a NASA research team envisioned in 1980 when it
proposed building self-growing mining modules on the surface of the
moon. Those visionaries pictured a lunar industrial park complete
with 3 billion robots, some of which would be devoted to keeping the
American flag flying over Central Control. But Lackner and Wendt
considered such a centralized control system cumbersome and
unnecessary. They proposed instead to manage their auxons using
remote, localized sensors that work by reflex. Each auxon would be
able to sense what was going on in its immediate neighborhood and
respond in a simple, appropriate way--perhaps by speeding up or
slowing down production.
Generally the system would be left to its own devices, spreading
across the desert like an automated kudzu vine. But while the auxons
were busy copying themselves, outside observers might want to keep an
eye on the system through satellite monitoring or feedback loops.
Humans might occasionally enter the scene to reprogram some machines,
either to improve their design or to root out bugs; they might also
want to keep an eye on auxons threatening to trespass beyond their
allotted bounds.
The ultimate control, of course, would lie in turning off the energy.
The system could be designed to respond to a broadcast radio signal
that would shut down the solar panels. Even if some of them ignore
you, the bulk of the system would collapse, says Lackner.
Other controls could be provided by what Lackner jokingly calls
administrative auxons--regulators that scuttle around enforcing
production specs and preventing mutations from reproducing
themselves. The system's strategy could be changed--from growth to
maintenance, for example--by injecting new blueprints into the
assembly robots, which would be retrofitted with new computer chips
or reprogrammed. The system will not evolve, Lackner says, unless you
approve it.
When they were satisfied that they'd addressed all the important
issues, Wendt and Lackner looked at the system critically. Suspicious
that it might be too good to be true, they devised various
productivity measures for proving it would work. Then they tested the
design with a barrage of imaginary disasters.
A rainstorm washes out part of the grid? Put up a sign saying track
closed and reroute your auxons down a stretch of elevated track. An
auxon dies on the perimeter? Tow it into a furnace to have its parts
recycled. Nowhere in the scheme was there a bottleneck or an
insurmountable obstacle. The system was go. Lackner and Wendt wrote
up their idea in a paper, Exponential Growth of Large Self-
Reproducing Machine Systems, which was published in May in
Mathematical and Computer Modeling.
Even if an auxon system could be built, of course, some question
whether it should be built. What if it turns into an ecological
nightmare? After all, one reason big projects are out of favor may be
that they carry big risks.
The potential of self-reproducing machines to wreak ecological havoc
was addressed back in the 1970s, when physicist Freeman Dyson
conducted some famous thought experiments on the future of machinery.
Among other ideas, Dyson proposed building a rock-eating automaton
that would fill the Sonoran Desert with self-reproducing machines.
Devoted to collecting sunlight and producing electric power, these
machines would generate so much power that the rock eaters could
easily support another colony, this one of rock restorers--automatons
devoted to putting the desert back to its original form. Auxons owe
an obvious debt to Dyson's rock eaters, and Dyson has said some kind
words to Lackner and Wendt about their idea.
The developers of the rock eaters' auxonal progeny face not only the
Frankenstein problem of runaway machines but also the question of
real estate. Sure, you need a certain amount of land for it, says
Lackner. Just as in your house you have to commit a certain number of
square feet to the bathroom. We plowed under the state of Iowa and
turned it into a cornfield, which is not all that natural either.
Clearly he and Wendt think the benefits of self-reproducing machines
outweigh the costs of siting them in various parts of the world, or
elsewhere in the universe.
Maybe it's unhealthy thinking about these ideas, muses Wendt. It
requires hubris.
But that's what makes it fun, says Lackner.
The two scientists admit that their ideas are out of tune with a
fashionable present-day notion that the way out of our problems is
not more technology but less. Lackner and Wendt argue that there is
no going back to preindustrial days. They believe we will need new
technologies to live in an increasingly energy-hungry world. They are
serious about getting their system built, and they hope to design
prototype auxons and start researching the alchemy of dirt within the
next few months. As their work moves forward, self-reproducing
machines are scuttling one step closer to reality.