May 26, 2004

Return of the Cave Man

I got this on email, and found it funny enough to post:

Finally, the guys' side of the story. We always hear "the rules" from the female side. Now here are the rules from the male side. These are Men's rules! Please note, these are all Numbered "1". And that is for a reason!!!

1. Learn to work the toilet seat. You're a big girl. If it's up, put it down. We need it up, you need it down. You don't hear us complaining about you leaving it down.

1. Sunday = sports. It's like the full moon or the changing of the tides. Let it be.

1. Shopping is NOT a sport. And no, we are never going to think of it that way.

1. Crying is blackmail.

1. Ask for what you want. Let us be clear on this one: Subtle hints do not work! Strong hints do not work! Obvious hints do not work! Just say it!

1. Yes and No are perfectly acceptable answers to almost every question.

1. Come to us with a problem only if you want help solving it. That's what we do. Sympathy is what your girlfriends are for.

1. A headache that lasts for 17 months is a problem. See a doctor.

1. Anything we said 6 months ago is inadmissible in an argument. In fact, all comments become null and void after 7 days.

1. If you won't dress like the Victoria's Secret girls, don't expect us to act like soap opera guys.

1. If something we said can be interpreted two ways, and one of the ways makes you sad or angry, we meant the other one.

1. You can either ask us to do something or tell us how you want it done.
Not both. If you already know best how to do it, just do it yourself.

1. Whenever possible, please say whatever you have to say during commercials.

1. Christopher Columbus did not need directions and neither do we.

1. ALL men see in only 16 colors, like Windows default settings. Peach, for example, is a fruit, not a color. Pumpkin is also a fruit. We have no idea what mauve is.

1. If it itches, it will be scratched. We do that.

1. If we ask what is wrong and you say "nothing," we will act like nothing's wrong. We know you are lying, but it is just not worth the hassle.

1. If you ask a question you don't want an answer to, expect an answer you don't want to hear.

1. When we have to go somewhere, absolutely anything you wear is fine. Really.

1. Don't ask us what we're thinking about unless you are prepared to discuss such topics as sports, the shotgun formation, or monster trucks.

1. You have enough clothes.

1. You have too many shoes.

1. I am in shape. Round is a shape.

Thank you for reading this; Yes, I know, I have to sleep on the couch tonight, but did you know men really don't mind that, it's like camping.

Pass this to as many men as you can - to give them a laugh. Pass this to as many women as you can - to give them an education!! Peace on Earth, MAYBE.

Posted by ts at 04:41 PM | Comments (599)

May 24, 2004

Kerry house party

We went to a John Kerry house party last weekend, and made the requisite donation. The most frightening thing about it: nobody knew anything about Kerry. All we knew was we had to get rid of Bush. That’s an incredibly sad commentary on the state of the Union.

Posted by ts at 08:45 PM | Comments (472)

May 23, 2004

The Road to Abuse in Iraq

This article is a good exploration of the root cause of the abuse scandal that is embarassing all Americans right now. A quote:

"At the end of the day, it is the Bush administration's fundamental strategy in the war on terrorism -- denying basic human rights to foreigners in the name of furthering our security -- that is to blame."

Mercury News | 05/23/2004 | The road to abuse

Posted by ts at 03:48 PM | Comments (313)

May 17, 2004

Now trying Textile 2

This one is interesting, too. Textile is a much more full-featured (read: harder to use) text HTML formatter. Here is some bold and emphasized text.

  • a list item
  • and another
  1. want a numbered list?
  2. how about this one

Well, how does it compare? I want features of both!

Posted by ts at 10:36 PM | Comments (554)

Testing Markdown

So, I just installed Markdown and Smartypants. Let’s see how they work!

This should be bold and emphasized. And now a list:

  • an item
  • another item

Just for fun, a numbered list:

  1. just for fun
  2. buckle my shoe

How did it work?

Posted by ts at 10:27 PM | Comments (334)

VC Calendar humor

This is a hilarious look at a VC calendar. He gets the words right in too many cases - it's almost painful.

VentureBlog: Calendar Calisthenics Redux

Posted by ts at 02:24 PM | Comments (333)

May 14, 2004

pop2blog enhancements

I decided to post my enhancements to pop2blog, even though they aren't very earth shaking. They are:

# use a mail folder instead of POP to get the mail
# authenticate against the entire email address, not just user portion
# strip .signature from the email

enhanced pop2blog

Posted by ts at 09:58 PM | Comments (432)

Online traffic school

I just did online traffic school to "disappear" a stupid ticket I got on the San Mateo bridge. It was incredibly easy and painless, and took just over an hour. That is an unbelievable improvement over snoozing through a droning lecturer for 8 interminable hours in some dingy hotel meeting room. (You can tell I've done traffic school before.)

Traffic School with GAMES and CARTOONS from only $16.95! InterActive! Internet Traffic School is an easy, fun :) California traffic school online.

Posted by ts at 09:35 PM | Comments (645)

May 12, 2004

The Zenith Angle

I just read Bruce Sterling's new book, The Zenith Angle, on the plane from Toronto to SF. I literally read it from start to finish without putting it down. It is a great yarn, and reasonably fast paced, but probably won't make my top 10 list. I definitely liked the topical references to events and people I am familiar with, and the sly references to other scifi novels. Worth reading, if you want a beach book that has some technology in it.

Posted by ts at 10:10 PM | Comments (652)

Palestinian perspective

I took a taxi in Toronto, and the driver was Palestinian, from Jerusalem, and his brothers and parents are still there. I took the opportunity to ask him what he thought of the situation there.

Of course, he had very strong feelings. He blamed the Jews for not wanting peace, especially Sharon. The wall they are building, he felt, would destroy any hope for ending the war. He said that any time Israel wanted, they could have peace, just by pulling their soldiers out. He portrayed the Palestinians as a poor, powerless people, who have no nuclear bombs and cannot be a threat, being pushed around by Israel.

He agreed that the Clinton proposal was the closest thing to peace they would see, and he blamed the Jews for not wanting it. He also railed that they are not honoring commitments made by Begin 15 years ago, that they don't even respect their own signatures.

I asked what he thought of the Palestinian leadership, and he said they have no leadership. Arafat is prisoner of the Israelis, and how can he govern if he can't leave his compound. The new prime minister is a puppet - they have to do whatever the Israelis say. All the European governments do whatever the US says on Israel, so Palestine has no friends.

I asked if the Palestinians had made any mistakes, mentioning that the Israelis had made some awful ones. He felt that they were so powerless they couldn't make mistakes, so they are blameless.

There you have it. I have only heard mostly pro-Israeli points of view, so it was interesting to try to listen with an open mind. I still pretty strongly disagree with his point of view, but it sure made me think.

Posted by ts at 04:50 PM | Comments (470)

May 11, 2004

Ben Zander

Ben Zander did a fabulous job wrapping up an incredible two days at the World Business Forum. He is so energetic, and bubbling over with stories, that you can't help but smile along with him. I had read his book, The Art of Possibility, and found it entertaining, although I do find his style of "anything is possible" just a little over the top. But I love music, and he did a wonderful job teaching a bunch of CEOs how to listen to and even make beautiful music in less than 2 hours.

He started with a great Happy Birthday demo, finding a guy with a birthday tomorrow and making him come up on stage. Then he made us sing the song about 5 times, each time adding elements like crescendo, emphasis, arm movement, facial involvement, and finally standing and performing. It was great.

He always asks the question: What assumptions are you making that you don't know you are making. This helps you figure out what box you are in, and think outside it.

He rehashed some things from his book: give everyone an A, live in possibility, and remember rule #6.

He loves telling stories about kids - they haven't learned what's not possible yet. Look at the kids for possibility. He did a great imitation of a kid learning a sonatina, nodding his head with the beats and making it increasingly more musical.

He explained that nobdy is tone deaf, unless they are totally deaf. And, everyone loves classical music, they just don't know it yet. He then played some Chopin, again, adding elements and explaining more each time he played it, until the last time was incredibly moving.

He finished with us all singing Beethoven's Ninth, starting with handouts showing phonetic pronounciation of the German text, then translating it for us, then working the musicality.

I had to run for a plane just before he finished, so I missed the finale, but I'm sure it was tremendous.

Posted by ts at 07:40 PM | Comments (335)

Bill Clinton

President Bill Clinton was greeted with a standing ovation when he came in. He really is a remarkable speaker. He talked for 15-20 mins, then took questions from a couple of moderators and the audience. My notes (the good stuff is toward the end):

He was the first president elected after the Berlin wall fell, after the cold war
He oversaw increased globalization
We were re-evaluating relationships in the world, betw people and govt.
The new world is still emerging.
Compare to early days of founding the republic, or civil war - times of great change

Words to describe today:
Globalization
Information age
Interdependence - his favorite, not inherently good or bad

Govt shd provide security to beat back destructive forces of interdependence.

He got closer to a Middle East peace than anyone. You know the only year in Israel's history no Israelis were murdered by terrorists:? 1998.

We must move towards a global integrated community based on shared benefits, shared responsibility, and shared values. He views everything through this lens: does it move us closer to a globally integrated community?

The way we have to relate to the rest of the world is radically diff from 15 yrs ago.

We should cooperate when we can, act alone only when we must. Some believe the opposite. But there are more enemies we can handle alone, so we need friends.

We have an incredible military might and security. Need to use some to make good things happen - half the world lives on less than $2 a day. AIDS, clean water, education, etc.

Founders believed we could always do better. They were worried about abuse of power. We need to keep inventing a "more perfect union".

Whole history of this country has been a constant struggle of union vs division. Folks willing to let live vs those trying to impose views. We still see that now.

No matter what happens, our common humanity matters more.

Questions:

How does the world see us now?

The world supported us after 9-11. UN unanimously voted to go into Afghanistan. Bush did a great thing meeting w Muslim leaders, giving speech that Islam is not our enemy.

Bush did some other things right. Pledged $ for AIDS, helping kids education.

But, there is a strong group of people in the administration who wanted to get Saddam Hussein, no matter what. Half of Americans still believe Saddam had something to do w 9-11. There is not a shred of evidence, and to Bush's credit, he's stopped saying it.

Then he cut $ for AIDS, and said they can not spend it on generics, so they can only treat 10% the people they thought.

Now the administration is doing whatever they want. Walking away from agreements, not cooperating. They must be prepared to live with the consequences of people not liking us very much - don't complain.

The Chinese govt is buying our deficit debt, created by the tax cut. This is the picture: Bush is knocking on China's door to borrow money for a tax cut for rich folks like Bill Clinton, to be paid back by our kids. I think this is nuts.

We have never in the history of the country cut taxes while at war - but we did last year.

America has more capacity to get people moving in the right direction than anybody, towards global integration. But it depends what Bush does.

If they did what Secretary Powell wanted to do, I think they'd be net way ahead. I probably just shortened his tenure. :-)

He supports NAFTA for all Latin America, goal was 2005 - still hoping someday. Can also expand it with Mexico/Canada.

Someone asks him to put aside partisan comments and asks if it wouldn't be better not to change administrations right now. He answers: depends if you think you can do better. (Chuckle.) Then he gets mad: I have said more good things about the Republicans and Pres Bush today than that whole Washington crowd said about me while I was President. Look at my track record - I have a much better record dealing with Republicans than they have with me.

Cutting taxes for the rich right now, for the folks in this room, while robbing the social security of the folks who clean this hall, is crazy. Somebody asked me what insight I and Rubin had to reduce the deficit, and I said arithmetic. I learned that in public school in Arkansas, so when Washington folks tried to tell me 2+2 wasn't 4 I didn't believe them.

I have no idea why people trust Republicans more for national security. Maybe because Republicans keep saying it, but I don't get it. John Kerry's record in Viet Nam, and more importantly his work in the Senate, make him eminently qualified to protect our national security.

We are harder to screw up than you think. Ten years from now, whether I like the outcome of this election or not, I think we'll still be stumbling in the right direction.

Posted by ts at 07:10 PM | Comments (338)

Anne Mulcahey

Anne accomplished incredible things in the last 4 years at Xerox, reluctantly taking the helm of a failing company and turning it around spectacularly. She is also clearly level 5, not taking any credit. She did a short and heartfelt speech, then took questions from a great editor from Fortune. Notes:

From intro: she never sought CEO job, and was insane to take it.

Nothing focuses the mind like the sight of the gallows. Took job with mixed conviction and uncertainty.

Spent first days listening to custs, emps. Focused on custs to figure out what to do.

Emps need to know what they are signing up for - comms essential.

It's the customer, stupid. 5x more expensive to get a new cust vs keep old one. Keep 5% more custs and increase bottom line 25%.

Find out what custs are saying. Nothing is more important. Starts at top - she had lunch w 30 today, 2 more tomorrow, Boston on Fri. All execs visits custs. They rotate cust exec of the day, take responsibility for fixing underlying problem with any cust that calls HQ that day.

Invest. Didn't take a single dollar out of R&D. Bit the bullet and now reaping the rewards. Half revs last year from prods introd in last 2 years.

Alignment. For cost cutting, ask if customer would pay for this. 90% emps visit custs on reg basis.

Deliver value. Don't just sell stuff, make sure it has ROI. About information not technology.

Serve. Prove cust svc above and beyond. "Very satisfied" custs 6x more likely than "satisfied" to stay w Xerox. Doing six sigma work w custs to make them more satisfied.

Creation of customer value is the heart of growth. It's the customer, stupid.

Questions:
Optimism is important, but must be tempered with realism.

Brutal facts were tough, from custs, emps, and analysts, but consistent. Had to make tough decisions, eg outsourcing, but data was pretty clear.

Vast majority of her time w custs and emps, 2 major constituencies.

She faced lots of skepticism about ability of an insider to make the changes required - made her mad. Fact the culture was painted as the enemy was insulting to the emps and her, so she wanted to prove them wrong.

None of the customers had this skepticism, though. Very supportive.

She tries to make a point of not just visiting cust CEOs, but folks w day to day interaction w prods. Learn who the honest critics are, cultivate them. Can be tough.

Be "problem curious" and look for opptys to solve problems. Point of reviewing info is to find probs quickly and solve efficiently.

Since she was not classically trained as a CEO, she was plenty humble, got lots of advice. Warren Buffett, Jack Welch.

When she was starting the turnaround, had lots of town meetings, and invited people to leave unless they were not only prepared to contribute, but actually enjoy it. Neutral or checked out is worse than challenging direction. At least they're engaged.

She does do formal emp evals, but tries to give constant feedback. Emp dev and succession planning restarted in last couple years.

Custs not buying next new thing, or upgrading. Only looking at closed loop ROI.

Posted by ts at 12:50 PM | Comments (599)

Michael Porter

Michael is another dynamic speaker, with the teaching style of a great professor. This was the first time I ever heard a lucid and logical definition of "strategy", and I was left with a lot to think about. Notes:

HBS professor on Strategy, institute of strategy and competitiveness

Too many orgs either never had a strategy, or lost it
Most probs self inflicted
Constant pressure to move away from strategy to greatest error: imitation. To stay on strat requires powerful leadership

Competition to be the best vs comp to be unique. More than one way to be best, need to be unique.

Lots of flawed concepts of what strategy is: what is important, or what you want, or what you do. Strategy is about your sustainable advantage.

Start with the right goals. Create economic value: command prices greater than the full cost of production. Only meaningful measure of success is Return On Invested Capital. Growth is good only if roic maintained. Accounting asjustments obscure true cap cost. Shareholder value is result of economic val - pleasing today's shareholders is not the goal.

CEOs are supposed to buffer co from investors - cap markets always advance bad strategy, usually too short term or imitative "best practices".

Fundamental unit of strat is industry structure, and relative position within industry. Have to focus on roic vs industry average.

Compet advantage is basically higher prices (differentiation) or lower cost. Which of these will be your fundament economic strategy model? How much of your advantage is due to price vs cost? Totally diff things.

Five tests of good strategy:
Unique value proposition
Different, tailored value chain
Tradeoffs - know what not to do
Activities that fit and reinforce each other
Continuity, not reinvention

Examples: southwest air, enterprise rent-a-car

Strategy is about choices, tradeoffs. What customers, which needs of theirs, and at what relative price? Can't meet every customer request - strategy is about which custs to listen to.

Best practices are not strategy - do best practices in non strat areas, where you make no choices. Where you have advantage, can't just do best practices.

Look for tradeoffs, they are what creates sustainable advantage. You can't put in every feature. Celebrate the tradeoffs.

Time required, continuity, to build assets, messages, and unique skills around strategy

Strategy allows you to change faster! Strat is not rigid, just a direction. Can continuously improve realization of strategy. Easier to exploit change when you know where you are trying to go.

Key lesson is: never copy anyone else. Figure out what you do, and how you will take advantage of change to support your own advantages.

Many barriers to strategy. Forces blow towards conventional wisdom, imitation, customer requests.

Most fundamental job of ceo is to understand strategy and communicate, communicate to everyone. Also must be good at saying no - strategy is tested every day, must turn down good things in a nice way bc not in strategy.

Best public co ceos actually recruit shareholders, visiting investors, to align with strategy. Explain to street the strategy to build economic value, and its benefit to shareholders long term. And get the board on the bus - board responsible for long term health of business.

The more you outsource, the less competitive advantage you have. Compets can outsource too, lose advantage.

Posted by ts at 09:50 AM | Comments (285)

Lou Gerstner

Lou read a prepared speech, so it wasn't as dynamic as some of the others to begin with, but he was great at handling questions posed by the idiots they had "moderating". A true level 5 leader, he constantly discounted his own contributions and praised his team. And his focus on the nuts and bolts of execution, and willingness to change long-established practices, really made an impact. Notes:

From the intro:
10 yrs at ibm starting 93, stock went up 8x in that time

Ability to drive change is key
Timeframes radically and permanently compressed
Main criteria for compet success is responsiveness

1993: 8.1b loss, largest ever to date
150k jobs lost since 86
Still great tech
Fundamental prob: success syndrome
Insular, inward looking, rigid behavior
Case study of decentralization run amok - 256 GL systems, 70 ad agencies, etc

Ibm couldn't change while the world changes
Elephant wouldn't dance
Prev mgt had decided to break up ibm

What to do:
Stop bleeding
Find growth engines
Decided to keep company together
Only way was to deliver on complete solutions, use advantage of size

Had to systematically change every process - about as fun as setting your hair on fire and putting it out with a hammer

Classic level 5 deprecation - he didn't do anything that great.

3 fundamentals: focus, execution, and leadership

Focus means selective and committed - lack is one of the most common causes of mediocrity
Belief grass is greener somewhere else - kodak going into pharma
Execs don't want to fight tough battle to win at base biz - but a lot easier than winning at new biz
Ability to say no to acquisition fever
A good portion of ibm success is due to all the deals they didn't do

In finance, survival of the fattest divisions, not enough resources for new growth initiatives, process to fund them is painful
Must protect future initiatives, esp when budgets are tight, even if it means starving cash cow a little

Execution:
Basics are well known, don't change much
So, no company is insulated from hand to hand combat in the trenches
Execution underrated
Great cos do great day in and day out execution to grind compets down
People do what you inspect, not what you expect
Must measure progress against targets and hold people acvcountable
Org must do something diff to improve, but cos don't like to chg

Vision statements are easy, strategy harder, but execution seps leaders from pretenders

Personal leadership:
Undervalued element of institutional transformation
Enterprises not managed, they are led, and driven, by indivs with passion
Execs must have visibility at all levels of inst
Communication and openness, respect
About passion, personal commitment
Not charisma, or substitute for good team
If you don't absolutely hate losing, you will rationalize every bad thing - always an excuse

Company had lost connection betw winning and the other things they wanted - benefits, etc. You can't have the other stuff unless you are winning.

Culture is not part of the game, it is the game.
Nobody is original when it comes to cultural statements, but behavior is diff
Culture is what people do wo being told
Changing dna doesn't happen by mandate
Can only chg conditions, explain requirements, chg comp programs - then invite workforce to change

He really feels IBM is an institution, contribs to society, would be a tragedy to break up.

What would he have done differently? Make a tech decision wrong early on and ceded networking mkt to Cisco. A few other examples, but record pretty good.

If you aren't making mistakes, you aren't taking enough risk, and risk is important to stay competitive.

Real problem is that leaders don't do what they say. Ceo touts investing for the future, then cfo cuts budgets. People figure this out pretty fast.
Must have systems and execs to supprt statements, show commitment
Then check conditions, comp plans, culture, to see how it is aligned

Odds of someone coming from outside to take over a large co in distress are long. Boards need to be much more focused on succession planning from inside.

Strong believer in empowering emps to manage on principles, not rulebooks. Had a huge book on how to work across biz units - go burn it. Use principle: if a customer wants something, do it for them. Figure out cost allocation later.

Legislation doesn't make dishonest people honest. And, it can impose a very heavy burden, esp on sm and med cos. Need to be careful to preserve our competitiveness.

First 90 days: try to build relationships, enlist help of existing team. Have to make decisions, but try to avoid bet the company decisions.

Passionate about public education: 1983 report "a nation at risk" - if a foreign power imposed our education system on us, it would be an act of war. And it's not getting better. There are no more unskilled jobs - have a crisis here. We have to fix this.

Posted by ts at 07:50 AM | Comments (298)

May 10, 2004

Jeremy Siegel

Jeremy is a great speaker, and closed out the day well. There were a few surprises, but many of them I didn't capture here, they are in the book.

His book: Stocks for the long run

Since 1802, stocks have returned 6.8% in real terms, blowing away bonds, gold, etc. Stocks also win almost every time period, and definitely every asset class.

If you lok at holding risk in short run, stocks risky, but at 20yr holding period, lower risk than bonds due to inflation risk.

PE ratio of market avg is 14.8, now it is 22.8. Tech stocks hijacked the PE and kicked it up.

Right now, S&P stocks ex tech are above March 2000 levels.

But, PE won't return to 15. Why? Tx costs lower, market more liquid, lower taxes. Could justify 20-22 on earnings after option costs.

Assertion by McKinsey: new cos in S&P provided most of the growth in the index. He did the detailed research: wrong! If you held the original s&p from 1957, you would beat current s&p on total return.

Why? When cos admitted into s&p, they are overvalued bc they are new.

Div yielding stocks have outperformed index over time. Winning stock for the long run: philip morris.

Sectors that contract relative to s&p often outperform, profitable but unsexy.

In 50's, diff betw retirement and life expectancy was 1.6yrs, now is 14.4yrs. Number of workers per retiree falling from 5 to 2.5. Worse in other countries.

With aging pop, who will produce the goods? And more important, who will buy the assets, eg retirees will sell stocks to finance retirement (not enough wealth in young people).

To make this work, retirement age must go to 73! Most optimistic productivity estimates might reduce this 2-3yrs.

There is hope. Answer is: developing countries. If assume 6% growth in dev countries, our retirement age only needs to go up a couple years. By end of century, India+China wealth could exceed US, Europe, and Japan combined. Growth does not guarantee returns, must start w low vals. By the middle of this century developing countries will own most of the world's capital.

Conclusions: stocks in middle of range. Expect 5-6% returns after inflation in long term (5 years).

Posted by ts at 03:00 PM | Comments (428)

Philip Kotler

Philip is a marketing guy, and the worst speaker at the conference so far, and the first I considered walking out on. But when you're packed in the middle of a row, you just have to sweat it out. A few notes, but it really wasn't worth much:

Secrets from J Paul Getty:
1) Wake up early in the morning
2) Work hard during the day
3) Find oil.

Marketing and innovation are drivers of top line. Mktg shd obviate the need for selling. Create value.

Message:
Marketing performance has been disappointing
Need New Marketing, not old mktg
Holistic mktg
Tech enabled mktg
Strategic mktg

Lots of bad news on marketing, has become only promotion. Low accountability.

Posted by ts at 01:50 PM | Comments (311)

Jim Collins

Jim gave an entertaining and dynamic talk. Below are my notes. I omitted stuff that was just a rehash of his book.

He accepts 1 on 25 requests to speak, likes this group.

What makes an enduring great exec, and how can you become one?

Built to last is wrong title, bc comparison cos also lasted. Also, bc seeds of greatness were early, conclusions were interesting, but also depressing and useless.

Good is the enemy of great. Greatness is a matter of conscious choice, not circumstance.

He didn't believe in leadership, but his team found level 5 leaders at gtg cos, and made him listen.

Lincoln was level 5, humble for self, but with the will to win at all costs for the cause of preserving union.

One of the first steps up the ladder is examining your relationship with the window and the mirror (credit and blame). Level 5 points to the window to give away credit, mirror for blame.

He considers Lou Gerstner level 5. Started at IBM at level 4 - took the job for his own reasons. Then he fell in love with IBM.

Somewhat more optimistic that level 5 leaders can be made. But you need the cause to be passionate about.

The path is when you start to make level 5 decisions vs level 4.

Keep track of level 5 choices in a level 5 journal. Notice when you capitulate to your selfish will, and when you do the right thing even though it is hard.

If you have cancer in your arm, you have to have the guts to cut off your own arm. Darwin Smith, Kimberly Clark, when he sold the mills.

Lots of lawyers in the level 5 group. Most disciplines know how to give answers, law teaches how to ask questions. Have someone track your statement to question ratio, and try to double it over the next year.

Lots of people know a level 5 at a lower level. Problem is not lack of level 5, problem is lack of level 5 at the top. Culture of level 4 in the 90's.

Increasingly finding that charisma is a leadership liability, not necessity, but can be overcome, eg sam walton.

Few have the discipline to understand the difference between what they are good at and what they can be the best in the world at.

Understand what to stop doing. Have a stop doing list.

Constant dualities: humility vs will. Preserve core values vs change cultural practices. These execs are "and" people. Short term "and" long term. Preserve and stimulate growth.

In the end, luck is still a factor, you may not finish first. Only you know if you are really making the right choices. In the quiet moments, check your conscience, and you will know if you made level 5 choices.

Posted by ts at 12:50 PM | Comments (288)

John D Rockefeller Jr

Okay, JD didn't speak at the conference. I had lunch at the Rockefeller Center Cafe, and these words were engraved on the tablet in the center. I thought they were apropos, and worth repeating:

I believe in the supreme worth of the individual and in his right to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.

I believe that every right implies a responsibility, every opportunity, an obligation, every possession, a duty.

I believe that the law was made for man and not man for the law, that government is the servant of the people and not their master.

I believe in the dignity of labor, whether with head or hand, that the world owes no man a living, but that it owes every man an opportunity to make a living.

I believe that thrift is essential to well ordered living and that economy is a prime requisite of a sound financial structure, whether in government, business or personal affairs.

I believe that truth and justice are fundamental to an enduring social order.

I believe in the sacredness of a promise, that a man's word should be as good as his bond, that character - not wealth or power or position - is of supreme worth.

I believe that the rendering of useful service is the common duty of mankind and that only in the purifying fire of sacrifice is the dross of selfishness consumed and the greatness of the human soul set free.

I believe in an all-wise and all-loving God, named by whatever name, and that the individual's highest fulfillment, greatest happiness, and widest usefulness are to be found in living in harmony with His will.

I believe that love is the greatest thing in the world, that it alone can overcome hate, and that right can and will triumph over might.

Posted by ts at 11:40 AM | Comments (287)

Jack Welch

Notes on Jack Welch's interview at the World Business Forum.

He is itching to do something, but prob not as CEO
Prob of finding CEOs of major corps is a failure of existing mgt on succession planning, and grooming talent
Strategy is leaders first, strategy second
Too many ceos get involved in the details of the biz - get promoted, but still do old job - shd focus more on people development, big picture
His job: get in the skin of everyone at the co, understand them
Have a few important initiatives, repeat over and over
Live with the people, every day
People are the whole game - get that right, everything else easy
More that 50% of his time evaluating people
He always walked factory floor, had lunch w the union leader
Get good people, measure them
5 e's: Energy, energize others, edge (make decisions), execute, emotion - care more about people
Winning is good, real good, greatest thing for this society, drives economy

Tipoff for failure of people: cared more about self than org
Size of office, pomposity, need for authority, all red flags

When he started, had oppty to see both great biz and crappy biz. Must feed the opportunities, starve or find homes for the crappy ones.

Biggest kick is seeing people succeed. Like raising kids. Huge rush, straight in the veins, people becoming successful.

Practice of getting rid of bottom 10%? Prob is lack of candor in orgs. Hardly anybody gets real between-the-eyes appraisals. Huge problem of false kindness - honest appraisal is the kindest thing to do.
With a candid appraisal system: top 20%, middle 70%, then bottom 10%. Hang on to top, tell mid how to get to top, but bottom 10 can't spend a lot of time on. Tell them they are there, and they will prob leave to find a better home.
Never pass an oppty to write down an appraisal with a bonus or event
Greatest and kindest thing is to let everyone know exactly where they stand.

If you don't share the beliefs of your org, get out. Being frustrated stinks.

He is working in nyc schools, principals leadership schools, getting principals to think of themselves as ceos. Some opposition from unions, but principals are great.

Preach every day: advantage of big co is can take big swings (risks) wo killing the co. Most big cos just manage their size, not use it. They are slower than startups, and most don't use their advantage of size and risk ability vs startups.

On R&D: 25% on pure research, 75% on improving existing prods. New ceo is doing more.

His theory on corp scandals: a few bad apples. Virtually all were cos that were new, or changed dramatically. So they didn't have the processes and culture to keep things in control.

Offshoring: opposing it is the dumbest argument ever put out. Protectionism is in vogue in election years. The US must remain competitive, numbers prove it. Remember Ross Perot and "giant sucking sound" in 91, never happened. Stopping 2 jobs from going overseas will kill 20 here.

360 evals work the first time, maybe second time. Then system falls apart, people get it. Ask yourself, do we have candor in this org? Does everyone know where they stand?

Nobody he ever asked to leave was surprised.

Mistakes he's made: record at picking people was at below 50% when he started, got up to 75-80%, but still a lot of failures. On biz, his system didn't work for kidder peabody, culture clash. Didn't buy a high tech company because he didn't want to explain to factory workers in Cleveland why SV engrs get twice as much.

Stock options are a wonderful way to differentiate. Another way to get candor into the org. Good news for those not getting opts: can go to mgr and ask how to become one of the best.

Who you put in to lead what is important is more important than any speeches. All emps can rank the mgrs better than you can, if a turkey is in charge everyone will ignore it. So six sigma was run by the best. Then options went to six sigma folks (made sure best were in the program).

Top 1 or 2 in every market, but biz units would narrow the markets to be #1. Solution: Don't have more than 10% share in any market - don't allow it. Expand the market for growth - this chg made growth jump from single digits to double.

When doing a 1-2 day bus review, use these charts:
What is compet field, and mkt share in it
What have done in last year to chg shape of chart
What are you scared of in next 12 mos, what can you do to ace them out
Eval management. Bring in six sigma managers to tell stories of quality. Could see 100 people. Take their ideas to the next plant.
Always look at the people directly and ask them questions.

Made his leaders teach. Had 3 week courses for several thousand emps per quarter. Bring in live examples of leaders from GE and use live biz models. Transfers lots of ideas and practices. At every quarterly mtg of top mgrs, agenda item of best generic idea to share.

How to create cultures: have beliefs, stick to them. Hierarchy is half luck, half practice. Don't care where you are, give people voice and dignity, you'll be okay, in any culture. Don't be a horse's ass.

He was always a sponge, learning from everyone. NIH is the worst disease. He learned from other ceos, eg sam walton. Every company is proud of what they do best. They will be thrilled to tell you all about it.

Posted by ts at 11:30 AM | Comments (279)

Rudy Giuliani

I'm in NYC at the World Business Forum in Radio City Music Hall. The place is packed. Rudy was the first speaker, and my notes from his talk are below. They are choppy, but it is hard to take notes on a Blackberry in a cramped seat in the dark!

Nyc is the capital of the world! Some other mayor asked if the UN made a resolution, but we know now the UN doesn't pass resolutions :-). Then the Pope came to NY and called it the cap of world - no higher authority.

Leadership same for mayor, and getting prostate cancer
Wrote book before 9 11
Rewrote some of it
6 principles for mgt and crisis

Most important is have a set of beliefs, know what they are
Study, meditation, figure out who you are
Reagan was his mentor: beliefs - communism was evil (not popular), and govt had become too large, was crushing economy
Public opinion poll politics is the opposite of leadership
Mlk developed idea of nonviolent response to shame america into seeing hypocrisy
Developed from study, prayer
Visionary, leader, not following polls
For rudy: people who live in freedom are stronger than people in oppression, will find a way to prevail because they have something to fight for
On 9 11 kept to that, will get thru this

Leaders shd be optimists
Everyone shd be optimists, pessimists are no fun to go to dinner with
Sports is a great way to study leadership in confines
Even when losing, coach gives hope
Vince lombardi: never lost a game, just ran out of time
Stay calm when everyone is losing their heads
Be a problem solver - part of optimism

Courage
You probably have it, but don't know it
Not absence of fear
Overcoming fear
Manage fear to do what is important to you
Story of injured firefighter going to wtc
Part of courage is analyzing risks correctly and not letting them stop you
Overcoming fear gives you a great feeling, too

Relentless preparation
Prep for the worst that can happen, then you can handle anything
Law clerk: for every hour in court, 4 hrs prep. Everything is rehearsed, nothing unexpected.
Then when unexpected happens, can handle it, have so much prep, it is just a variation on something prepped for
City of ny spent 350m on y2k - rudy complained bitterly about that, but it was well spent, bc all systems had been backed up and duplicated

Teamwork
Have to have strong team
Don't forget who put you there, it wasn't god
Ask yourself this q: what are my weaknesses, how can my team compensate for them
When he came to office, had crime problem and economy problem
Knew everything about crime, but needed great people to handle economy
Find the gaps, and fill them
Also emotionally what strs and weaknesses do you need to balance

Communication
Having ideas isn't enough, must convince others
The way to be a great communicator is to be honest - prev 5 things
Prep esp to feel comfortable
Comm becomes easy if you just talk to people
Most important thing about a leader is to love people
Have to be around people all the time, must love it, must be there, always talking with them
Funerals more important to weddings

Bush wanted to come to ground zero on 9 14
Tried to solve security probs, but still had fires
Him spending time there was inspiring, even though secret service wasn't happy
People he spent most time w was construction workers, big men
Big opinions, and love to share them
Telling him what to do w terrorists
Then crushes him w a bear hug

Before 9 11 he might have chged order of leadership characteristics, now he believes more in power of beliefs
Pres bush measures up on these qualities, effective leader
There is only one pres bush, has strong beliefs, builds good team, not like some other folks

On Iraq pows, can't blame entire us military for actions of a few
Also these kinds of things happen in war
Don rumsfeld took responsibility and apologized, bush shd not take direct responsibility
Comes at a terrible time
Take oppty to build govts in the world that are accountable to people
Japan took 7 years to transition to civilian govt, and had better start - iraq will take time

He ducks the president question, supports bush and cheney
9 11 commission, easy in hindsight, bush did right
We are better prepared today, but not as well prepped as we shd be

Posted by ts at 08:10 AM | Comments (700)

May 09, 2004

Testing .sig removal

Did it work? I'm sitting in SFO on T-Mobile, and it took me about 15 minutes to get on, figure out the right regular expression to remove the signature, and test it. I manually removed my sig from the previous entry, but this one should be automatically removed.

Posted by ts at 01:36 PM | Comments (406)

May 08, 2004

Pop2blog

I just installed pop2blog, so I can blog from anywhere with my blackberry. I budgeted a half hour, but it took me more like an hour. Not bad!

Posted by ts at 10:24 PM | Comments (269)

May 01, 2004

Install Windows XP in 5 hours or less

I found this quite funny, and somewhat educational. Lots of inside jokes.

How to install Windows XP in 5 hours or less [dive into mark]

Posted by ts at 01:56 PM | Comments (290)